Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.860016 4.121637 4.404060 4.733801 5.111121 5.533021 6.045695
2025-02-16 3.403923 3.741900 4.127418 4.606745 5.197291 5.916404 6.884612
2025-02-23 3.060726 3.438645 3.888301 4.476357 5.247839 6.263066 7.776130
2025-03-02 2.752958 3.141538 3.618345 4.266268 5.159745 6.414796 8.466626
2025-03-09 2.550254 2.952146 3.459617 4.175028 5.211927 6.772093 9.606819
2025-03-16 2.350325 2.748170 3.260862 4.003280 5.120572 6.895960 10.427776
2025-03-23 2.239367 2.649346 3.190543 4.000118 5.277255 7.457749 12.398766
2025-03-30 2.129682 2.543152 3.099594 3.954497 5.358285 7.914532 14.507703
2025-04-06 2.020769 2.430157 2.989280 3.866337 5.353455 8.211769 16.522299
2025-04-13 1.909235 2.306747 2.854998 3.727140 5.238992 8.259222 17.897705
2025-04-20 1.861765 2.268796 2.840487 3.774308 5.463899 9.113810 23.524826
2025-04-27 1.827177 2.246269 2.846057 3.853498 5.763542 10.283712 34.491530
2025-05-04 1.779110 2.207022 2.831507 3.912052 6.069405 11.762792 62.172798
2025-05-11 1.727235 2.159600 2.801517 3.942312 6.332854 13.382982 166.268346
2025-05-18 1.670111 2.101380 2.750614 3.930091 6.505771 14.925887 NaN
2025-05-25 1.598195 2.017559 2.653509 3.822542 6.433836 15.500324 NaN
2025-06-01 1.546796 1.962101 2.598681 3.789450 6.541938 17.071298 NaN
2025-06-08 1.483567 1.885861 2.505404 3.673291 6.414974 17.400524 NaN
2025-06-15 1.449925 1.853158 2.481781 3.691091 6.650486 20.203935 NaN
2025-06-22 1.411145 1.810683 2.439083 3.666135 6.764791 22.628144 NaN
2025-06-29 1.367881 1.759437 2.378680 3.599225 6.744071 24.130656 NaN
2025-07-06 1.319087 1.697850 2.297802 3.483504 6.556429 23.943993 NaN
2025-07-13 1.300227 1.682314 2.294757 3.530184 6.880467 29.963173 NaN